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Interactive Tool · Chapter 11

The Risk Calculator

Trust is the foundation of adoption. Measure your product's reliability to ensure long-term user retention.

The Risk Calculator

The 4 Rules of User Trust

80

Does it actually work?

0 = Often incorrect100 = Consistently correct
70

Are you hiding how it works?

0 = Hidden reasoning100 = Clear sources & reasoning
60

Is it predictable?

0 = Unpredictable100 = Highly predictable
80

Does it solve their actual problem?

0 = Misaligned incentives100 = Fully aligned with user

Trust score

27

out of 100

Reading

Developing: A solid foundation with room for strategic growth.

Pre-set scenarios

Read Chapter 11

How to read the score.

Trust is the foundation of adoption. If your app is inaccurate, hidden, unpredictable, or unaligned, you will struggle to retain users. They multiply, so the math is rigorous on purpose.

A product that scores 80, 80, 80, 80 lands at 41 of 100. That feels low for four solid eighties. The point is that trust does not average. It compounds in both directions. A single weak layer pulls the whole score down to where the user feels it.

Run the four pre-set scenarios. The opaque AI tool is what most teams ship. The predictable but unaligned tool is what they fear they will ship. The 2026 average is where the median consumer product sits today. The fourth scenario is what good looks like, and it is harder to reach than it sounds.